Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Brian White thinks that's too conservative; he predicts 37 million units will be sold in the first year.
I tend to agree with the bullish, optimistic projections -- in part because I believe the Apple Watch will have some revolutionary interface voodoo that will blow people's minds to the point of becoming addictive.
I also think that the true power of the Apple Watch will be unleashed by developers who take advantage of the Retina display, the Taptics engine and all the rest.
In short, I think the Apple Watch is going to be really cool.
I can't wait.
Sign up for CIO Asia eNewsletters.