"The smartwatch will be popular," Kagan added. "As smartphones do more, we use them all the time. With Gear, we can make a call or check email on our watch, and much more."
On the other hand, Gold said that Samsung will need to sell Gear at below $100 to get mass market appeal. "At $300, that's probably as much as most people will pay for a phone itself," he said.
Still, Gold saw one element of promise for Samsung with the new Galaxy Gear and Note 3. Samsung said it will be pre-loading its Knox security and management software on the Note 3, which would extend many of those software features to the Gear, which operates paired via Bluetooth in a limited range. Knox first appeared on the Galaxy S 4 unveiled in March.
Samsung is "obviously targeting the Note 3 for enterprise adoption and BYOD, where I think they may find some real success, especially since few companies find vanilla Android safe enough to deploy," Gold said.
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