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Intel eyes a path to get back in line with Moore's Law

Agam Shah | March 3, 2016
Intel hopes to get back to advancing the chip manufacturing process every two years with the upcoming 7-nm process.

Intel prides itself on making computers faster, cheaper and smaller, but in recent years, the company lost a chip manufacturing edge it had to make that happen.

The company hasn't kept up with its own deadlines to advance chip technology and has dealt with embarrassing product delays. In recent years, Intel hasn't been able to advance the chip manufacturing process on a regular two-year cycle, a schedule it had in place for decades.

After encountering challenges involved in making teenier chips, Intel is now advancing the chip manufacturing process every two and a half years. It did so with its current 14-nanometer manufacturing process, and is expected to do so with its upcoming 10-nm process, Stacy Smith, chief financial officer, said during a speech this week at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom Conference.

But Intel hopes to end the half-year lapse at the upcoming 7-nm process, when it hopes to return to advancing chip manufacturing every two years, Smith said.

"We would like to be at two years, but we're not," Smith said. "We're just watching 7-nm as being the potential time where there's a technology shift that might allow us to get back to the two-year cadence."

Intel has based its chip manufacturing advancements on an observation called Moore's Law, which states that the density of transistors should double every two years while cost per transistor declines. Intel's goal is to get back in line with Moore's Law, which served the company well for decades.

Manufacturing issues during the 14-nm process led to Intel slowing chip manufacturing advancements to a 2.5-year time frame. That led to product delays and wholesale changes in chip release plans.

One issue: Intel typically releases two chip architectures with one manufacturing process, but for the first time will release three with the 14-nanometer process. Intel has released chips code-named Broadwell and Skylake, and later this year will release chips code-named Kaby Lake.

The first chips based on the 10-nanometer process, code-named Cannonlake, will come in the second half of 2017.

Returning to the Moore's Law schedule hinges on a new technology called EUV (extreme ultraviolet lithography), which eliminates some of the complexity associated with making smaller chips.

EUV could come into action with the 7-nm process. The technology uses ultraviolet light to transfer circuit patterns on silicon wafers using masks. EUV can't be used now because the tools don't exist.

As chips get smaller, the chance of errors in the manufacturing process also increases. Current techniques like multipatterning lithography -- used in Intel's 14-nm process -- do not allow Intel to further reduce chip sizes, Smith said.

It's possible that EUV tools will be ready earlier than expected so they can be implemented in the 10-nm process, but Intel isn't planning for that yet, Smith said.

 

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