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Global geopolitical risk predictions for 2016

Maria Korolov | Jan. 6, 2016
The recent multi-decade trend towards globalisation is hitting up against a new trend towards localisation and fragmentation this coming year, and that, combined with political and military hotspots around the globe, experts say, is likely to make international companies pay more attention to geopolitical risks in 2016


Any major city, power facility, or communications or travel hub could become the site of an infrastructure failure, according to Albert Goldson, executive director at New York-based ​Indo-Brazilian Associates LLC, a boutique global advisory firm that provides international investment, political and security risk assessments.

One recent example is the 2003 New York blackout, he said, a result of a cascading failure of systems.

Whether due to accidents, natural disasters, physical actions by terrorist groups, or cyberattacks, the risks have been increasing over the past few years, he said, as the number of targets continues to grow.

"Companies need to be prepared for people to be able to telecommute if they can't get to the office, have a plan for any sort of extended outage, and have a plan for backup communications," he said.


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