Subscribe / Unsubscribe Enewsletters | Login | Register

Pencil Banner

Skeptics don't get that new-time Windows 8.1 religion

Gregg Keizer | July 9, 2013
Little chance the upgrade will reverse sales contraction this year, argue analysts; IDC says shipments 'deteriorating' more than expected

Meanwhile, research firm IDC, which earlier this year predicted PC shipments would contract by 7.8%, nearly four times the decline in 2012, said that the market is already behind that projection.

In a note published June 28, IDC said that 2013's fall-off might be even larger than forecast. "The expectation for the second quarter was not all that high, showing only minor improvement from the first quarter," said Loren Loverde, the analyst who leads IDC's PC shipment tracking group. "But the May results reflect deteriorating conditions rather than improvement and the market will probably fall short of projections."

In the model IDC used to forecast the 7.8% decline, the second quarter — which ended June 30 — was to be down 11.7%, a smaller drop than the first quarter's historic 13.9% plunge. Shipments in the third and fourth quarters, meanwhile, would decline 4.7% and 1.6%, respectively, from the same periods in 2012.

"We still expect an improvement in the second half of the year as more new products are launched and we get into the back-to-school and holiday seasons," Loverde said. "But the market will likely remain cautious about the second half of 2013."


Previous Page  1  2 

Sign up for CIO Asia eNewsletters.