After Samsung's Galaxy Gear smartwatch was roundly criticized by some reviewers and analysts after its unveiling Wednesday, it seems to fair to ask: Will the technology be a hit or a dud?
If, as some predict, smartwatches won't be a hit, why are major companies like Samsung, Apple, Microsoft, Google about to release such devices? Each of those companies spent years developing smartwatch technology.
One possible answer: smartwatches will become a primer to a whole new category of wearable devices.
Analysts say that along with wearable headset computers like Google Glass, future devices will include more technology — likely even computerized clothing and tattoos — that can sense body functions and a user's location and movements. Such technology would offer more than simple communication functions, such as making phone calls or answering text and emails, and include various biometric sensors.
Some analysts are lumping such wearable technology into a large, vague category called the Internet of Things.
Forrester analyst Sarah Rotman Epps a year ago said sensor-laden devices are part of a phenomenon she calls " Smart Body, Smart World." In that category, devices themselves are not as important as the data they collect, how it's interpreted and how it's used used by human to make decisions, she says.
"If we change the discussion from communications to sensors, I think smart wearable devices have a huge future—especially at reasonable price points that large volumes could bring," added Jack Gold, an analyst at J. Gold Associates.
Wearable computing is a nascent market so far with just 25 million devices, mostly for health monitoring and fitness, expected to be sold in 2013, according to Gartner. The consulting firm projects 40 million wearable devices will be sold in 2014.
Such products can include sports bras and compression shirts with sensors woven in to provide EKG data to athletes. "We're looking forward to how the wearable space evolves, with the inclusion of analytics and software, which puts humans at the center of computing, instead of devices getting all the attention," said Gartner analyst Angela McIntyre.
At the unveiling of the Sony Smart SmartWatch2 in late June, company officials projected that some 41 million smartwatches will be sold in 2016. By comparison, analysts at Gartner and IDC estimate 1 billion smartphones will be shipped or sold in 2013.
Gold and several other critics of Galaxy Gear said its $299 price tag is too high and that the device is too limited, lacking body sensors to measure heart rate, respiration and other body functions. It also offers only one day of battery power.
Critics are also concerned that tying the Gear device to the Galaxy Note 3 and a few other Samsung devices via Bluetooth 4.0 doesn't leave it open to the large world of Android smartphones and tablets made by other vendors.
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