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iPhone 5 rumor roll-up for the week ending Oct. 28

John Cox | Oct. 31, 2011
The iOSsphere hungers for news about iPhone 5. It can't let go of LTE, and new images of what the Next iPhone will look like again rear their Photoshopped pixels. Contemplating a quad-core mobile processor causes swooning.

The iOSsphere hungers for news about iPhone 5. It can't let go of LTE, and new images of what the Next iPhone will look like again rear their Photoshopped pixels. Contemplating a quad-core mobile processor causes swooning.

And just in time for Halloween, authoritative word that the late Steve Jobs will not introduce the iPhone 5. He'll introduce the iPad 3.

You read it here second.

"I don't know about you, but the stretched out iPhone 5 is starting to look a fair bit like the Android superphones that are out there with their 4+ inch displays." -- Michael Kwan, Mobile Magazine, commenting on imagined "concept art" for the non-existent iPhone 5

iPhone 5 will have LTE you betcha!

At least, "according to industry sources in Taiwan," as reported by DigiTimes, which has more of them than anyone else.

The published account is actually headlined "Competition for LTE-enabled smartphones to heat up in 2012," but the story itself is about the U.S. LTE smartphone market. "Competition among handset vendors for a bigger share in the US LTE-enabled smartphone market is set to intensify in 2012 when Sprint Nextel starts kicking off its LTE services in the middle of the year."

That's a bit like saying, "Competition among Republican presidential candidates is expected to intensify in 2012 when primary elections start."

The industry sources refer to Apple almost in passing. "Nokia, Apple, RIM and Sony Ericsson are expected to join the LTE club in 2012 ...,"using the Passive Rumor Tense which always makes rumors sound more like facts.

So CNET rewrote the headline when it "reported" the DigiTimes story: "Apple expected to launch 4G LTE iPhone next year."

The bulk of the CNET is a summary and linknest of previous stories dealing with LTE market projections, other LTE handset vendors, Apple's rare comments on LTE technology and so on. The general iOSsphere assumption seems to be that Apple will miss the tidal wave of LTE adoption, or reveal itself as technologically inept, if it fails to introduce an LTE iPhone 5 in 2012. CNET repeats some ABI Research projections: "To keep up with the likely consumer demand, the number of 4G smartphones shipped annually is forecast to reach 245 million in 2016, compared with just 4.6 million last year ..."

That sounds like a lot. But then Morgan Stanley is forecasting nearly 2.8 BILLION "3G+" users by the end of 2014. It's likely that a somewhat more "mature" cellular market like the U.S. will have a higher penetration of 4G by 2015, but the bulk of usage will still be 3G-related. Apple can afford to wait on the 4G iPhone.

 

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