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Cisco releases VNI for 2014-2019

Chris Player | June 16, 2015
Networking giant, Cisco, has released its Visual Networking Index (VNI) for 2014.

Networking giant, Cisco, has released its Visual Networking Index (VNI) for 2014.

The figures cover a wide range of areas such as: IP traffic, Internet traffic, Fixed versus Wi-Fi versus mobile growth, devices, speed evolution, average traffic per user and household traffic.

This is the tenth year that the vendor has produced this dataset and Cisco has a pretty good track record with its VNI, with predictions usually falling within ten per cent of actual figures. In the 2009-2014 VNI, predictions were for 34.2 per cent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) globally and actual figures came in at 35.6 per cent.

The latest figures came with predictions for 2019 and give a snapshot of what the connected world will look like in five years. The data comes from a number of analysts, Cisco's software agents and actual Internet traffic figures.

Cisco Australia chief technology officer, Kevin Bloch, presented the figures from a global and Australian perspective.

"I don't think that the numbers I present are only an IT issue," he said.

"These numbers are business metrics. The smarter organisations outside of IT, will and should be taking note of these trends.

"Whether you are in government and you call it the knowledge economy or you are in business and you call it digital transformation, or you are here at Cisco and talk about the Internet of Everything (IoE), you are talking about the same thing, and these numbers are huge."

Bloch outlined the four key trends that Cisco believed were driving the adoption of IP, traffic and build up. The first was the increasing number of Internet users, Cisco's figures show that in 2014, there were 2.8 billion individuals connected to the Internet and that this figure would grow to 3.9 billion in the next five years.

According to Cisco, Australia had 17 million Internet users in 2014 and was predicted to reach 21 million by 2019.

"By 2019 half of the world's population will be on the Internet," he said.

The next major driver was the amount of devices and connections. In 2014, there were 14.2 billion connected devices and this is set to grow to 24.4 billion by 2109. Bloch said that of those, 10.5 billion devices would be machine to machine (M2M) by 2019.

There were 116 million connected devices locally in 2014 and Cisco estimates that figure will nearly double to 220 million in five years with the number of M2M devices reaching 119 million.

The third driver was faster broadband speeds, the global average for 2014 was 20.3Mbps and Cisco predicted this will grow to 42.5Mbps by 2019. Locally, this was 18.3Mbps in 2014 and set to grow to 43.6Mbps by 2019.


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