* China's consumption of computing will lead to growth of the cloud computing industry through the government's Five-Year IT focused spending. China currently accounts for 3% of global cloud computing market share and, according to Gartner, is expected to grow at an annual rate of 40%. Although China will develop much software itself, in 2013 it will also be a major consumer of cloud software from other countries, most notably the U.S. We will also begin to see new ways in which China will build competing services to some of the top U.S. vendors.
* Google, Microsoft, VMware and Oracle will continue to claim they are leaders in cloud computing. These vendors are out to prove it by beefing up their cloud capabilities through acquisitions, such as VMware's purchase of Nicira to expand its virtualized data center offering.
* There will be clear distinctions between the leading open source cloud computing players, such as OpenStack, CloudStack and Eucalyptus. The industry currently lumps these vendors together, but they each have distinct audiences for their solutions. As more users adopt open source cloud offerings and technologies mature, the differences between them will become more obvious.
In 2013, some of the predictions for the year will be proven wrong, and new equally fanciful predictions for 2014 will be made. What does your crystal ball or gut instinct predict?
Eucalyptus Systems is the leading open source software for building AWS-compatible private and hybrid clouds.
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