The airline industry is instructive in this regard. As with cloud computing, airlines are a capital-intensive business; airplanes cost a lot, while seats are sold on a low-cost, low-commitment basis. The key to the airline industry is yield management, which is its version of infrastructure utilization. The past few years have witnessed multiple airline bankruptcies and merger-mania. Next year the cloud computing market will look a lot like the airline industry — great for customers, but perilous for providers.
Well, there you have it — my 2014 cloud computing predictions. In a sense, what has happened in the industry to this point has been the prologue for the main cloud computing story. Next year represents the beginning of the main story. In 2014, we'll see cloud computing become the dominant platform for IT from now on. There will be many successes as users learn to take advantage of the new capabilities cloud computing offers, along with challenges to many in the industry —both users and vendors — who struggle to make a successful transition to the platform of the future.
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